18 Comments
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Katie's avatar

Thank you for your excellent work applying your knowledge and stats skills to expose threats to our nation.

Steven Urdegar's avatar

Even if true, the error rate is very tiny and would likely not effect the outcome of any election. Nevertheless, it will be used to justify policies that would lead to the disenfranchisement of millions.

Freddie Baudat's avatar

And it sows further mistrust in the election outcome.

Steven Urdegar's avatar

I doubt it. A GOP talking point isn't mistrust. I haven't seen one survey that supports it no matter how many times media pushes the meme.

Freddie Baudat's avatar

Who won the 2020 US presidential election?

Judy's avatar

I suppose what Trump says can't technically be classed as a GOP talking point because it's better described as a Trump talking point, one that he invented and one that he returns to every few days.

The GOP doesn't mention it, perhaps because GOP politicians don't want to be heard claiming that their own election victories are suspect. Trump harps it when he fears he is about to lose or when he has actually lost. When he wins, he is confident that only citizens voted and the votes were counted correctly. When he loses or fears he is going to lose, non-citizens are crowding into the voting booths and the election workers are double-counting and passing around USB drives. It's all Trump propaganda ... or Trump talking point.

Steven Urdegar's avatar

The current GOP is an extension of Trump. They echo his every whim.

Kim Probst's avatar

thank you for your work- it must have taken a lot of work to develop this clear presentation- and I appreciate it- I also appreciate your skill in delivery- so clear and so engaging- you are making an impact - thank you!

Steve Maurice's avatar

Thank you for this explanation and I hope you are able to spread the word about the undermining of our institutions when stats are no longer tethered to the truth. Dangerous times require bold voices.

Patric Martin's avatar

Very interesting. I wonder if the govt can be sued on the basis of this fraudulent report. It’s clearly intended to mislead and misinform. Bringing them to trial would give the opportunity to expose through your detailed explanation.

Dean Linebarger's avatar

I really enjoyed this analysis and it brought me back to my days in local government when I used Census Bureau and Bureau of Labor Statistics data to analyze both public policy and operational decisions. The critical importance of the accuracy and demonstrated credibility of these data sources cannot be overstated.

VEE LAVALLEE's avatar

Wow. Yet you know what Justin this IS the way this government operates! Argentina is obviously little dicktators model. No wonder he bailed their farmers out instead of his own. I do believe that they might have offered him asylum and won’t deport him back to the USA if he’s found guilty of crimes. It’s all supposition of course so I won’t sign it. The mad red hatters will take it as gospel and the regime will tie up the dems in endless court battles so they don’t have time to do gvmt stuff. Clever dicks aren’t they?

Jayne's avatar

TY, Justin. Very very informative. I was a health care researcher and I know how critical and consequential correct data is. It is truly life or death in healthcare and in economic health.

The Gritty Bee's avatar

So, .00016 of votes are fraudulently cast. It was always and is still a negligible error rate. You can’t fight the liars with facts, you can only challenge their version of truth with their own ‘facts’.

Barry Renaud's avatar

Thanks Justin, The facts you cite should be good ammunition for Dems (or for that matter, anyone) when MAGA Republicans cite the referenced Census bureau report. The production of this report is another example of the President using federal agencies to promulgate lies and propaganda or take actions not authorized by law. No reason to believe that a future president(s) won't do the same. It would be great if our legislators would start cutting back on the vast bureaucracy, even the census bureau. All of the work done by the bureau could be done by private firms and governments and, importantly, the public would be able to assess their output. This process would be much more effective at stopping presidents from politicizing federal agencies than the civil service laws have been, particularly given the Supreme Court's decisions entrenching the "Unitary Executive."

beckya57's avatar

Jared Bernstein is also very alarmed by this, and had a Substack post about it too.

Wendy E's avatar

I honestly don't believe many of their reports anymore since this term started! Whatever they can make up and keep repeating is what his base believes. Sadly, there's still quite a few of those idiots out there and then they start repeating it!